zeb/market flash (Issue 3 – October 2012)

Key topics

1. Global economic climate

  • The global economic environment got worse as GDP growth rates and forecasts declined around the globe
  • ECB support promote Western European sovereign CDS spreads significantly – decline of 50% within one quarter only

2. Key banking drivers

  • In Q3 2012, market volatilities and uncertainties clearly calmed down – the euro recovered moderately
  • The interbank funding situation improved considerably with positive effects on the banks’ margins

3. State of the banking industry

  • Central bank support in Europe and the US boosts banks’ equity performances in these regions with double-digit TSR figures outperforming BRICS countries in Q3 2012
  • Impact also visible on debt side as average CDS spreads of banks declined significantly and series of rating downgrades was brought to an end despite weaker economic conditions
Picture: La Défense, Paris

Feel free to contact us!

Author Dr. Dirk Holländer

Dr. Dirk Holländer

Senior Partner Office Frankfurt

Volker Abel

Senior Manager zeb
Author Dr. Ekkehardt Bauer

Dr. Ekkehardt Bauer

Senior Manager Office Münster

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